Upon Three Games in Queens

By Charlie Geier

Lets begin with the most recent game first. The Yankees just completed a three game sweep of the Mets at Citi Field, after taking 2 of three in the Bronx. Mariano Rivera closed the game for his 18th save of the season, and the 500th save of his career. He joins now-Brewer reliever Trevor Hoffman as the only two pitchers in the history of the game to record 500 saves. This save was of the four out variety, and in between the 8th and 9th innings Rivera found time to achieve another historical milestone.

As the games this weekend were played at a National League park, the pitcher for each team is required to hit if he is to remain in the game the next inning. Frequently, at the end of close games, the pitcher will be lifted for a pinch hitter, who is in turn replaced by another relief pitcher. However, the Yankees had no intention of removing Rivera from a one-run game, much less a shot at his 500th save. When the Yankees got two men on against Met closer Francisco Rodriguez, Derek Jeter came to the plate with first base open. The Yankees attempted some trickery by sending backup catcher Francisco Cervelli into the on-deck circle, perhaps attempting to hide the fact that Rivera was due up next. In a puzzling move, the Rodriguez actually pitched to Jeter, until deciding to intentionally walk him with a 2-1 count. Rivera walked to the plate, and worked the count full before drawing a bases-loaded walk which gave him the first RBI of his career.

The Yankee offense started the game off with a bang, as Jeter led off the game with a double high off the big wall in left, which would have been out in many parks.   The team scored 3 runs in the inning, but was largely held down by Livan Hernandez and the Mets in the hitting department thereafter. However, Mets pitchers issued a robust 11 walks in the game, which the Yankees failed to capatalize upon.

Yankee starter Chien Ming-Wang lasted 5.1 innings, and continued to show signs of progress after an abysmal start to the season. He induced 11 ground ball outs of the 16 outs he recorded, which is a sign that his sinker is doing its job. He worked into trouble in the 4th, allowing the two Met runs of the game. Yankee relievers followed Wang with 3.2 innings of one-hit relief. 

The Yankees swept the weekend due in large part to their pitching. On Friday, CC Sabathia gave the Yankees 7 innings of 1-run ball, and struck out 8. Amazingly, Cooperstown lock Mike Plefry did not deliver on the prognostication that he would “shut the Yankees down”.  He lasted just 5 innings, and was let down by his defense. He also gave up an RBI to Sabathia and allowed two hits to Brett Gardner. Gardner, along with teammate Melky Cabrera continue to defy those who claim they are “scrubs”, and “completely overmatched by major league pitching”.

On Saturday, AJ Burnett had a no-hitter going which was broken up by Alex Cora. Burnett went 7 strong, striking out 10 and alowing just the one hit. Brian Bruney and David Robertson finished the job, combining with Burnett for the one-hit shut out. Tha Yankees scored all five of their runs against Met starter Tim Redding, including two home runs. Strangely, Mets not named Sheffield seem to have trouble leaving Citi Field with any regularity, though undoubtedly the absence of Delgado, Reyes and Beltran has contributed to the low HR totals.

The Mets are an injury-depleted team these days, and have gone 6-10 since the beginning of their previous series with the Yankees. 5 of those 10 losses have come at the hands of the Bombers. If we buy the excuse of injuries as the cause of the recent woes, I think its only fair to characterize the 3-1 series against league-leading St. Louis as fortunate.

The Yankees did poorly against the Nationals and Marlins, before rebounding to take 2-3 from the Braves and to sweep the Mets. The pitching has shown it can dominate opponents, from starters to bullpen, and but for their perplexing futlilty against the Red Sox, the Yankees would be comfortably atop the standings.

16 Responses to “Upon Three Games in Queens”

  1. Sherm Says:

    Welcome to the National League, where they play real baseball. Adds another dimension, doesn’t it.

    Nothing puzzling about pitching to Jeter there — very conventional move by the Mets — Phillips and Morgan just don’t know what they are talking about. Runners were on first and second rather than second and third. The smart play was to pitch Jeter carefully, and go after him out of the strike zone if you get ahead of the count. With nobody on third, you can bounce some breaking balls and hope he chases. If you get behind the count (as they did), then you walk him. Pretty basic stuff. If you just walk the bases loaded without even trying to go after him, you put an extra runner in scoring position in the event the pitcher singles, and you risk walking in a run (as they did) and you also risk allowing a run to score on a wild pitch or passed ball by walking a guy to third.

    As for Pelfrey, give me a break, the next hard hit ball by the Yankees against him will be their first. Infield hit, throwing error by DW, bloop hit by Gardner, see and eye single by CC which a real shortstop (as opposed to back-up utility player) fields, an error by Cora on an easy double play ball and error by Evans on an easy out. Two earned runs which easily could have been zero. And he was cruising when they took him out for a pinch-hitter. It was a nice outing by Pelfrey, his defense (and offense) just let him down.

    And I didn’t say Gardener and Melky were scrubs who were overmatched by major league pitching — just Gardner. And I ain’t taking that back. We’ll see where he is in a year or two.

    I don’t understand a lot of things your manager does, but one thing I don’t get is why he plays his only good defensive outfielder and his best outfield arm in left rather than center or right. Why not Gardner in left and Melky in center? Melky is a much better centerfielder than Gardner, with a MUCH better arm.

    Well, you have proven that you can beat the Buffalo Mets. Maybe you can beat the Red Sox if six of their best players go down, just maybe.

  2. Sherm Says:

    I just remembered that you didn’t watch Friday’s game.

    Pelf pitched well Friday. Defense and misfortune did him in. Pena had a full swing bunt which DW barehanded and threw away. Gardner had a bloop just over Cora’s head. CC had a see and eye single up the middle just past Cora (best hit ball of the inning, but that’s not saying much, and real ss gobbles it up). Then Cora fielded a grounder right at him for an easy inning-ending double-play, but threw it past Castillo and got 0 outs instead of two. And Evans booted a slow grounder hit right at him at first. It was a 1962-type inning. Pelf was otherwise unblemished, and got lifted for a pinch-hitter while cruising because they were down 4-0.

  3. Charlie Says:

    At least we know you are alive. Wonder boy nieve couldn’t keep his mojo going tonight. Is omar going to make a deal? I think it will take time for the injured bug guns to get it going.

    Unbelieveable that they are still alive-ish in the NL east. Yankees still have 3rd most wins in the bigs.

  4. Sherm Says:

    I’m hoping that Omar does nothing. Just too many holes to fill. Beltran, Putz and Delgado are likely done for the year. Reyes is out until late July. And who knows what is going on with Maine’s shoulder. The only guy certain to be back soon is Perez, and he’s a mental case. Come in 4th and re-tool for next year. They should be sellers in July, not buyers. Guys like Livan, Feliciano, Green, Redding, Sheffield, Church, and Cora should all be on the trading block for prospects. I’m thinking Feliciano would have a lot of trade value for a team looking for a lefty specialist in the pen. Sheff could certainly help an AL team looking for help at DH. Livan is a pretty good fifth starter. Cora is a nice bench player and a good “clubhouse guy” for a competitor.

    The farm system is not deep enough to make desperate trades which won’t help them win anything because they have too many holes to fill right now. We’re about one year away from having a good farm system, don’t ruin that to come in second.

  5. Charlie Says:

    Isn’t June a bit early to pull up the tent stakes>?

  6. Sherm Says:

    No. They have the worst lineup in baseball right now. Adding a Nick Johnson or two won’t be enough to matter, and not worth the cost of good prospects.

    The only deals I’d be interested in are for bad contracts which mid-market teams are looking to dump for nothing. Like when the Yanks got Abreu for nothing. I’m thinking Carlos Lee or Alex Rios. But I wouldn’t give anything for either of them. Just assume their bad contracts. If they were to add Rios and then got Reyes back, they could stay competitive.

  7. Charlie Says:

    Beltran news doesn’t sound too positive. I am overall surprised that there are no clear-cut front runner besides the Sox and Dodgers. Lots of middle of the pack teams, with plenty of hot/cold streakers mixed in. Seems like it might be a wide-open year. If the Yankees can keep getting their pitching to do its job, they could be set up well.

  8. Sherm Says:

    And the Dodgers mostly on account of the weakness of their division — they have fattened up against the west. The Sox are clearly the best and the deepest team in baseball right now. But it’s a long season, and anything can happen.

    If I were you, I’d be worried about the Rays. I still think they have a better lineup than the Yanks, and Kazmir’s back. A very strong argument can be made that they are better right now than the Yanks at 2nd (Zobrist is an animal), SS (Bartlett having break-out year, and very good defensively), 3rd (Langoria better than a recovering ARod), LF (Crawford much better than Damon), CF (Upton much better than Gardner/Melky), and DH (a healthy Burrell vs. a hampered Matsui), with rf a wash (flip a coin among the Rays platoon v. the very erratic and the defensively challenged Swisher). And Carlos Pena, while not as good as Tex, is no slouch at first, and has a real good glove as well. Their problem, of course, is the bullpen. It has solidified as of late, but there is not a lot of talent there. But your pen is suspect as well. That’s gonna be a tight race for the wildcard.

  9. Charlie Says:

    For the Sox and Rays, yes. I just have a feeling this is going to shake out for the Yankees. Call it a hunch. I think the Sox are due for a skids.

  10. Sherm Says:

    Well, you got Eric Hinske, so the Sox are in big trouble now. :) . The Sox are so much deeper, especially in the bullpen. And they have Bucholz and Bowden at AAA. They will add a bat to a lineup that is already as good as the Yanks.

    Either way, it will be a three team race in that division for two spots.

  11. Charlie Says:

    And what the hell is a “see and eye single”? Isnt is seeing-eye

  12. Sherm Says:

    Guessing you’re right. I generally don’t proof read my comments. But aren’t you a few behind? And are you really going through with this on Thursday? :)

  13. Charlie Says:

    I gotta tell you man, this is one of those times when I think the irrational part of being a sports fan makes it more fun. “Come in 4th and re-tool for next year. They should be sellers in July, not buyers.” thats not fun to argue against. Maybe its a conditioned response from years of being a Met fan, but give me a little fight. Cite the Cards of 06, or the Rockies of 07. Study the schedule and look at longshots.

    This isn’t football, we got a lot of baseball left. the NL East is pretty bad.

  14. Sherm Says:

    The Cards had a big first half in 06, and then barely held on while they struggled over the second half due to injuries, and then they got some players back in time for the playoffs.

    If the Mets can stay close, they won’t be and shouldn’t be sellers. I just don’t see them staying close with this lineup. Frankly, I had been quite impressed with this team’s resiliency up until the Yankee series, but they just have too many easy outs and too many guys playing out of position to continue to compete. The NL East does have the defending world champion in it, and they are due to get hot eventually.

    How about Big Pelf today? 7 2/3 innings of shutout ball, and a win against Gallardo. Pretty impressive.

  15. Sherm Says:

    And if you want to talk about longshots, you start with Met fans. The Mets were in last place in August 1973, then won the division on the last day, beat the Big Red Machine in the playoffs, and would have beaten the A’s dynasty team but for the stupidity of a certain ex-yankee catcher.

  16. Sherm Says:

    Shea It Isn’t
    Citi Field is costing the New York Mets — and their opponents — home runs in 2009
    Comment Email Print Share
    Cockcroft By Tristan H. Cockcroft
    ESPN.com
    Archive

    In order to hit a homer at Citi Field, you have to hit the ball a country mile.

    Or at least that’s what David Wright’s fantasy owners might have you believe. A 33-homer hitter as recently as last season, the slugging No. 3 fantasy pick overall finds himself on pace for nine home runs in 2009.

    But incredibly, in spite of his season-long power drought, Wright enters Saturday’s play ranked the ninth-best player in all of fantasy baseball. He might not be the bopper the big spenders were expecting at the draft table, but he’s getting the job done in other ways, and it’s a product of his making adjustments to his game necessitated by his new home ballpark.

    That’s because, like Mets fans and their Shake Shack burgers, Citi Field is gobbling up home runs at an alarming rate. At least, that’s what Greg Rybarczyk reports, thanks to data culled from his hittrackeronline.com Web site.

    According to Rybarczyk, the most significant change in ballpark effect by the Mets’ switching from Shea Stadium to Citi Field this season has been in terms of home-run production. In the first 37 games of Citi Field’s existence, the Mets and their opponents have been “robbed” of a combined 36 home runs that might have cleared the fences at Shea. Compare that to only two home runs — both hit by fellow fantasy first-rounder Chase Utley of the Phillies — hit at the Mets’ new home that would not have been round-trippers at Shea, and you’re talking a staggering difference in ballpark factors. (For those interested in the specifics, I’ve included Rybarcyzk’s complete chart breaking down these 36 “stolen” and two “gift” Citi Field home runs at column’s end.)

    Citi Field/Shea Stadium
    Greg Rybarczyk/Hit TrackerCiti Field’s fences are deeper and taller than they were at Shea Stadium, except in right field.
    So what’s causing such a dramatic effect? Rybarczyk illustrates the vast difference in outfield dimensions between Shea and Citi Field in the diagram to the right. But it’s more than that. As he adds: “Keep in mind that the fences at Citi Field are considerably taller than those at Shea Stadium, and that for a typical home run ball, each additional foot of fence height is equivalent to moving the same height fence back by 0.84 feet. So, the 16-foot fence in left field at Citi Field is not only much deeper than the left-field fence at Shea Stadium, it is 8 feet taller, which equates to about another 6 feet of distance.”

    Those ballpark factors are very important to us, the fantasy owners, particularly the ones coming from new venues. We might aim to predict the future, but trying to forecast how a new field might play is akin to predicting the year-end Citigroup Inc. stock price. You might feel like you have an idea, and experts might give you a hint, but darned if you’d feel confident putting money on your guess.

    Well, we’ve got 37 games in the book at Citi Field, a small sample size, yes, but also enough of one to begin getting some accurate readings. As one who doesn’t believe in one concrete method of measuring ballpark factors, I’ll provide you the breakdowns from several angles and let you decide for yourself.

    Here’s a comparison of the per-game and ratio (batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS) numbers for Citi Field in 2009, for Shea Stadium from 2004 to 2008, and this year’s league average:

    G

    R/G

    H/G

    2B/G

    3B/G

    HR/G

    TB/G

    BA

    OBP

    SLG

    OPS

    BAbip
    2009 (CitiField) 37 8.6 17.6 3.4 0.5 1.6 26.8 .260 .333 .395 .728 .295
    2004-08 (Shea) 405 8.9 17.4 3.4 0.3 2.0 27.4 .255 .326 .401 .728 .288
    2009 MLB average 1094 9.3 17.8 3.6 0.4 2.1 28.4 .261 .333 .416 .749 .296

    Now here’s the breakdown of Citi Field in 2009 versus Shea from 2004 to 2008, except with each category calculated using the same formula used to determine our Park Factor page. Naturally, the league average is unnecessary to list here, as a league-average ballpark factor would be 1.000.

    G

    R

    H

    2B

    3B

    HR

    TB
    2009 (CitiField) 37 0.874 0.939 0.883 1.462 1.113 0.970
    2004-08 (Shea Stadium) 405 0.940 0.964 0.955 0.704 0.906 0.942

    What those tables show us are two things: One, home-run production is down by 19.1 percent from Shea Stadium. Run production is down as well, an obvious byproduct of fewer home runs’ being hit, but fortunately only slightly — by 3.5 percent.

    The other thing they show is that the Mets have actually adapted their game, both at home and on the road, to account for the difference in ballpark factors, evident in the second chart related to Park Factors. They’re taking advantage of the gaps more, driving the ball for doubles and triples, and making contact, both in terms of their major league-low 394 team strikeouts and .276 batting average, fifth-best in baseball. Hitting coach Howard Johnson, in fact, expressed this change in approach during the Mets’ Monday broadcast, and Wright himself recently hinted to Peter Gammons that he’d altered his own style.

    “It took an adjustment,” Wright said, according to Gammons’ blog. “The idea is to hit line drives gap to gap. That’s what I’ve concentrated on and not worrying about hitting balls to the warning track for easy outs. I’ve found two things. The first is that because the outfield is so huge, I’m getting some cheap hits at home. The second is that it’s going to help us on the road because you get into good habits in a pitchers’ park. It’s a lot easier going from a pitchers’ park to a hitters’ park than vice versa.”

    One must applaud Wright for putting up the numbers he has, adapting as quickly as he has to his new home park. In addition to his nine-homer pace, he’s batting .351 and is on pace for 213 hits, 50 doubles and 43 stolen bases, all of which would easily represent new career highs. He’s also on track for 88 RBIs and 107 runs scored, and if you go back into baseball’s annals, only one player in history had a season of at least a .340 batting average, 50 doubles and 40 steals with 10 home runs or fewer: Tris Speaker in 1912, the year he won his only MVP award.

    Wright, though, has also lost the most homers as a result of the differential between Shea’s and Citi Field’s dimensions. According to Rybarczyk, six of Wright’s batted balls at Citi Field would have cleared the fences at Shea; those plays instead resulted in one single, three doubles and two triples. Not that I have any right to suggest that baseball games might play out the same if individual results are changed, but just for fun, if we rerun Wright’s numbers awarding him those homers (and alter his other stats accordingly), here’s how his 2009 pace looks:

    Sans homers: 107 R’s, 50 2Bs, 7 3Bs, 9 HRs, 88 RBIs, .939 OPS
    With homers: 114 R’s, 46 2Bs, 2 3Bs, 23 HRs, 103 RBIs, .984 OPS
    2006-08 per-year average: 108 R’s, 41 2Bs, 3 3Bs, 30 HRs, 116 RBIs, .933 OPS

    Chase Utley
    Al Bello/Getty ImagesYou won’t hear Chase Utley complain about the Citi Field right-field fences. Two of his recent homers would have died on the warning track at Shea.
    Gary Sheffield is the only other Met to lose multiple home runs because of the ballpark change; he has lost two. Visiting players Brett Carroll, Chipper Jones and Evan Longoria can also cry foul that two of their batted balls apiece would’ve been home runs if hit at Shea. All told, the Mets have lost 16 homers, but their opponents have lost 20. Their most devastating series in terms of home run impact: the June 9-11 series against the Phillies, of which the Mets won one of three. Rybarczyk notes that the Mets lost five home runs to Citi Field’s tougher dimensions, the Phillies one, but the Phillies actually gained two homers that wouldn’t have been so in Shea.

    Mets pitchers, of course, benefit, especially seeing as three of their usual rotation members, Johan Santana, John Maine and Livan Hernandez, are noted fly-ballers. Sure enough, Santana has been spared four homers he might have served up at Shea (two became long outs), and Maine three (one caught for an out). Amazingly, Hernandez hasn’t benefited at all, but the impact on the staff is clear: You’re less apt to serve up the costly long ball at Citi Field than at Shea.

    So what does the future hold? Rumors abound that both the Mets and Yankees — and don’t worry, we’ll get to their park next week — might alter their outfield dimensions for 2010. I wouldn’t find it surprising if the Mets should lower or bring in their fences or effect some combination of both, which would probably minimize the home run-sapping effect in future seasons.

    But for the remainder of 2009, don’t call this a cavernous, can’t-score ballpark. The Mets, at least the healthy ones — their injuries, for sure, have played a part in all of this — are still generating good numbers, and matchup-seekers need only alter their projections based on a lesser prospect (or fear, for pitchers) of the home run. Citi Field might be pitcher-friendly, but it’s no Petco Park.

    Besides, even if Wright isn’t giving you the elite home run stats you expected, he’s certainly giving you elite value. That’s the mark of a great player: He makes the adjustments and fills the fantasy stat sheet, even if it takes some categorical creativity. Lose the homers but gain the speed, you know?

    It’s a stat sheet I’d gobble up as quickly as this Shake Shack burger. Speaking of which, please excuse me — it’s time to eat!

    Citi Field non-homers that would have left Shea Stadium
    Hitter
    Team

    Date

    Inn
    Pitcher
    Team

    Result
    Description
    J.J. Hardy MIL 4/18 4 Johan Santana NYM Fly out Wall in deepest LCF
    Justin Maxwell WAS 4/25 9 Brian Stokes NYM Double Off LCF wall
    Josh Willingham WAS 4/26 5 Oliver Perez NYM Fly out Base of LF wall
    Brett Carroll FLA 4/27 7 Sean Green NYM Fly out WT in LF
    David Wright NYM 4/27 8 Renyel Pinto FLA Triple High off CF wall
    Gary Sheffield NYM 4/28 1 Ricky Nolasco FLA Triple WT in deepest LCF
    Cameron Maybin FLA 4/29 1 Johan Santana NYM Triple Off CF fence to right of apple
    Brian Bixler PIT 5/8 7 Sean Green NYM Double Off CF fence to right of apple
    Carlos Delgado NYM 5/10 4 Ian Snell PIT Double High off CF fence to right of apple
    Carlos Beltran NYM 5/10 8 John Grabow PIT Double Off very top of LCF fence
    David Wright NYM 5/11 7 Derek Lowe ATL Double Off CF wall to right of apple
    Chipper Jones ATL 5/12 6 Mike Pelfrey NYM Fly out WT in deepest CF to right of apple
    David Wright NYM 5/12 7 Jair Jurrjens ATL Triple Off RF wall under the overhang
    Chipper Jones ATL 5/13 1 Jonathon Niese NYM Double Off wall in RCF, deepest spot in Citi
    Kelly Johnson ATL 5/13 8 J.J. Putz NYM Double Off wall under Modell’s sign in deep RF
    Jose Reyes NYM 5/13 12 Mike Gonzalez ATL Double Very high off LF wall
    Austin Kearns WAS 5/25 6 John Maine NYM Fly out Leaping grab on WT in front of bullpen
    Adam Dunn WAS 5/27 5 Johan Santana NYM Fly out Deep RCF against wall to right of bullpen
    Daniel Murphy NYM 5/27 7 Jesus Colome WAS Double Short-hops LF wall
    Jorge Cantu FLA 5/30 5 Tim Redding NYM Double High off LF wall
    Brett Carroll FLA 5/30 8 Ken Takahashi NYM Double High off LF wall
    Dan Uggla FLA 5/31 2 John Maine NYM Double Very high off deep LCF wall
    Hanley Ramirez FLA 5/31 4 John Maine NYM Double Off LCF wall
    Pedro Feliz PHI 6/9 3 Johan Santana NYM Double Low off LCF wall
    Gary Sheffield NYM 6/9 5 J.A. Happ PHI Single High off LF wall, thrown out at 2B
    Fernando Tatis NYM 6/9 6 J.A. Happ PHI Double Off very top of LCF fence
    Mike Pelfrey NYM 6/10 3 Cole Hamels PHI Double Base of LF wall
    Jayson Werth PHI 6/10 7 Mike Pelfrey NYM Single Off CF glove leaping try at CF wall
    David Wright NYM 6/11 4 Jamie Moyer PHI Single Low off LF wall
    Luis Castillo NYM 6/11 5 Jamie Moyer PHI Double Very high off LF wall
    Evan Longoria TB 6/19 1 Fernando Nieve NYM Fly out WT in LF
    Ben Zobrist TB 6/19 4 Fernando Nieve NYM Fly out WT in deep RCF
    David Wright NYM 6/19 3 Andy Sonnanstine TB Double Off bullpen fence in RCF
    Evan Longoria TB 6/21 4 Mike Pelfrey NYM Double Base of LF wall
    David Wright NYM 6/21 6 Lance Cormier TB Double Off bullpen fence in RCF
    Ryan Church NYM 6/24 7 Brad Thompson STL Double Off LF wall

    Citi Field homers that would not have left Shea Stadium
    Hitter
    Team

    Date

    Inn
    Pitcher
    Team

    Result
    Description
    Chase Utley PHI 6/9 8 Johan Santana NYM Home run To RF corner
    Chase Utley PHI 6/10 4 Mike Pelfrey NYM Home run To RF corner

    Tristan H. Cockcroft is a fantasy baseball analyst for ESPN.com and a two-time champion of the League of Alternative Baseball Reality (LABR

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